Life as we know it is coming to an end…
We have been writing about the demise of the Eurozone and its attendant collapse for over a year. Well, we are now here and the collapse and subsequent contagion will commence momentarily. Greece is likely to crater into a catastrophic default in a matter of months. Following close behind will be Spain, Italy, and France. They will be losing control of over Euro 4.3 trillion in sovereign debt.
If that doesn’t get Germany to wash its hands of the whole mess, I don’t know what will. The resultant chaos would be far more than Germany could handle, economically, or, culturally. Was there a sign, which signaled the end of hope for the Eurozone?
There was, it was the fact that President Obama began encouraging the Eurozone to back away from austerity as a solution and move to a growth strategy instead. President Obama and his administration, with that change in posture, provided confirmation of his helplessness in the face of imminent collapse of the Western world economies.
We know this because Dr. Albert Bartlett, emeritus Professor of Physics at the University of Colorado at Boulder, is in the 5th decade of presenting his celebrated lecture, Arithmetic, Population, and Energy: Sustainability 101. His first presentation was September 1969, and has subsequently delivered it every 8.5 days for the next 36 years.
Professor Barlett begins his lecture by saying that, The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function. He noted that even modest annual increases will inevitably result in huge exponential growth over sustained periods of time. Sustained growth is not possible in a world of limited resources (see Chris Martenson’s Crash Course). Obviously President Obama’s plan to grow GDP to solve the sovereign debt problem is doomed since GDP growth cannot match the current growth of government debt creation. It may be possible to manage our way out of trouble, but, not possible to grow our way out, without serious debt reduction.
Europe appears to be beyond saving, particularly given the political gridlock being displayed in Greece, Spain, Italy, and France. The United States is not handling the political gridlock any better than the Europeans, and BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, & South Africa) are facing serious economic infrastructure challenges of their own.
Japan is in a difficulty class of it’s own. Its’ population is the oldest among the industrialized world. The aging population needs more and more young people to support the large retiring population, yet, it is experiencing a brain drain as educated young people leave the country, failing to return.
Japan has no natural resources and imports nearly everything. The March 11, 2011 triple whammy of earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear accident, destroyed agricultural businesses, crippled manufacturing businesses, disrupted power generation and supply in Japan. Japan was heavily dependent on nuclear power generation, yet, the last of Japan’s nuclear plants was shut down in April 2012.
Japan’s economy, for the past 3 decades has been on life support, with Japan sovereign debt at 250% of GDP. Japan’s revenues have fallen to the point insufficient to cover sovereign debt interest expense. Japan now faces the future with its economy, finances, and culture in grave danger and serious decline.
The US solution of printing more money is at an end. We must manage our country and resources to have any hope of emerging from this crisis. We are in a leadership vacuum, focused, committed, and determined leadership must arise and take the helm. Tomorrow is vanishing quickly, we must act, now, or lose everything.
Geoff
Postscript: May 21, 2012 G8 Talk of Growth Over Austerity Could Be Red Herring – Business News – CNBC: http://www.cnbc.com//id/47410002
References:
Please pay special attention to references #1,2, & 10.
1) Professor Albert Bartlett: Arithmetic, Population and Energy (Lecture) | Watch Free Documentary Online: http://topdocumentaryfilms.com/arithmetic-population-and-energy-lecture/
2) The Crash Course – Chris Martenson – chapters, Crash Course, Economy, Energy, environment, Peak Oil, videos, what should I do: http://www.chrismartenson.com/crashcourse
3) May 13, 2012 Why A Greek Exit From The Euro Would Mean The End Of The Eurozone: http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/why-a-greek-exit-from-the-euro-would-mean-the-end-of-the-eurozone
4) May 14, 2012 The Bank Runs In Greece Will Soon Be Followed By Bank Runs In Other European Nations: http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-bank-runs-in-greece-will-soon-be-followed-by-bank-runs-in-other-european-nations
5) May 15, 2012 We Are Watching The Greek Banking System Die Right In Front Of Our Eyes: http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/we-are-watching-the-greek-banking-system-die-right-in-front-of-our-eyes
6) May 16, 2012 Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis: Real Estate Crash in China Underway: Foreign Funding Down 80%, Land Sales Down 57%, Starts Down 27%; Expect Chinese GDP to Plunge: http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/05/real-estate-crash-in-china-underway.html
7) May 16, 2012 Testosterone Pit – Home – The Greek Extortion Racket In Its Final Spasm: http://www.testosteronepit.com/home/2012/5/16/the-greek-extortion-racket-in-its-final-spasm.html
8) May 17, 2012 18 Signs That The Banking Crisis In Europe Has Just Gone From Bad To Worse: http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/18-signs-that-the-banking-crisis-in-europe-has-just-gone-from-bad-to-worse
9) May 19, 2012 Alasdair Macleod: All Roads In Europe Lead To Gold | ZeroHedge: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/alasdair-macleod-all-roads-europe-lead-gold
10) March 21, 2012 US Public Debt Growing at Unsustainable Rate :: The Market Oracle :: Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting Free Website: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article33724.html




